Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 14 MARCH PINNACLE STAKES (Open)
Line Horse
Meridius
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Shoemaker 2 54.0 1 0.00 0.0 108 102 102 -6 2 Meridius 2 56.0 2 1.25 0.0 110 110 110 +0 3 Gilded Butterfly 3 53.5 3 2.50 4.5 111 94 101 -10 4 Litigation 3 58.0 4 3.50 4.5 115 102 105 -10 5 Ipso Facto 2 50.0 5 3.65 0.0 94 95 95 +1 6 Street Art 3 56.0 6 3.75 4.5 110 98 100 -10 7 Whafeef 6 50.0 7 4.25 0.0 101 95 95 -6 8 Aragosta 3 56.0 8 7.00 4.5 118 97 108 -10 9 Twin Turbo 4 50.0 9 7.10 2.0 96 90 90 -6 10 Nebraas 8 56.0 10 12.00 0.0 112 106 106 -6 11 Zeus 3 62.0 11 13.50 4.5 122 109 112 -10 12 River Romeo 2 50.0 12 34.00 0.0 101 94 94 -7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shoemaker | 108 | 109 | 102 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Meridius Line | 110 | 115 | 110 | +5 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Gilded Butterfly | 111 | 108 | 101 | +7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Litigation | 115 | 113 | 105 | +8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Ipso Facto | 94 | 92 | 95 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Street Art | 110 | 78 | 100 | -22 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Whafeef | 101 | 91 | 95 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Aragosta | 118 | 109 | 108 | +1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Twin Turbo | 96 | 88 | 90 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Nebraas | 112 | 101 | 106 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Zeus | 122 | 117 | 112 | +5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 12 | River Romeo | 101 | 94 | 94 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points