Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
El Rey Viene
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Syx Hotfix 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.5 89 73 89 +0 2 Pirate Prince 2 61.5 2 0.40 0.0 89 90 90 +1 3 El Rey Viene 5 59.5 3 1.00 0.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Straight Up 5 57.5 4 4.20 0.0 81 78 78 -3 5 Madison Valley 4 54.5 5 5.60 2.0 84 67 74 -10 6 Ibutho 7 60.5 6 5.70 0.0 87 83 83 -4 7 Few Dollars More 2 52.0 7 7.40 0.0 76 66 66 -10 8 African Dusk 5 55.0 8 7.80 0.0 76 72 72 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Syx Hotfix | 89 | 83 | 89 | -6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Pirate Prince | 89 | 94 | 90 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | El Rey Viene Line | 85 | 77 | 85 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Straight Up | 81 | 79 | 78 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Madison Valley | 84 | 116 | 74 | +42 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ibutho | 87 | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Few Dollars More | 76 | 84 | 66 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | African Dusk | 76 | 83 | 72 | +11 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points