Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Like A Butterfly
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Galladorn 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 72 75 75 +3 2 Like A Butterfly 3 57.0 2 5.25 3.0 63 63 63 +0 3 City Lights 4 57.0 3 8.50 1.5 69 66 66 -3 4 Apache Son 4 60.0 4 10.00 1.5 - 72 72 +72 5 Chieftain's Shield 4 60.0 5 10.25 1.5 - 72 72 +72 6 Hat Man 4 60.0 6 13.75 1.5 64 72 72 +8 7 Japanese Maple 4 60.0 7 15.75 1.5 - 72 72 +72 8 High Queue 4 60.0 8 17.25 1.5 - 72 72 +72 99 Trippis Tune 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 69 69 +0 99 Glacier Bay 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 69 69 +0 99 Silver Seven 3 56.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 61 61 +0 99 Trip To States 5 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galladorn | 72 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Like A Butterfly Line | 63 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | City Lights | 69 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Apache Son | - | 89 | 72 | +17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Chieftain's Shield | - | 80 | 72 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Hat Man | 64 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Japanese Maple | - | 56 | 72 | -16 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | High Queue | - | 74 | 72 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Trippis Tune | - | 70 | 69 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Glacier Bay | - | 50 | 69 | -19 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Silver Seven | - | 38 | 61 | -23 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Trip To States | - | 63 | 67 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points