Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN MEETING SATURDAY 16 MARCH MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Viva De Janeiro
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Libeccio 5 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 68 65 68 +0 2 Eiger Sanction 3 59.5 2 1.30 3.0 77 65 67 -10 3 Viva De Janeiro 5 54.0 3 1.80 0.0 60 60 60 +0 4 Run For Cover 5 60.0 4 4.05 0.0 72 70 70 -2 5 Light Of Day 5 58.5 5 4.30 0.0 69 66 66 -3 6 Written In Stone 9 52.0 6 5.80 0.0 56 53 53 -3 7 Carnelo 6 55.5 7 8.30 0.0 63 60 60 -3 8 Masters Queen 3 54.0 8 8.40 3.0 60 51 51 -9 9 French Impact 2 56.5 9 9.10 0.0 79 62 69 -10 10 Green Sceptre 2 54.5 10 9.50 0.0 60 58 58 -2 11 Skyfull 2 52.0 11 10.25 0.0 54 53 53 -1 12 Guy Alexander 3 53.5 12 14.00 3.0 67 50 57 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libeccio | 68 | 62 | 68 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Eiger Sanction | 77 | 79 | 67 | +12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Viva De Janeiro Line | 60 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Run For Cover | 72 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Light Of Day | 69 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Written In Stone | 56 | 67 | 53 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Carnelo | 63 | 75 | 60 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Masters Queen | 60 | 56 | 51 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | French Impact | 79 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Green Sceptre | 60 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Skyfull | 54 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Guy Alexander | 67 | 72 | 57 | +15 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points