Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 FM 72 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Can't Catch Me
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 19
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 19
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 19
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mia Fiore 4 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 72 69 72 +0 2 Que Ceu Azul 2 59.5 2 5.00 0.0 71 71 71 +0 3 Can't Catch Me 5 54.5 3 6.25 0.0 61 61 61 +0 4 Secret Recipe 5 57.0 4 6.50 0.0 66 66 66 +0 5 Micke's Bomb 4 58.0 5 7.00 1.5 77 65 67 -10 6 Beguiling 3 48.0 6 9.00 2.5 50 43 43 -7 7 Count Your Chances 5 52.5 7 9.50 0.0 57 57 57 +0 8 Jj's Eagle 2 59.5 8 10.00 0.0 77 71 71 -6 9 Green Bubbles 2 57.5 9 12.25 0.0 67 67 67 +0 10 Lady Crusade 3 57.5 10 13.00 2.5 67 62 62 -5 11 Great Barrier 4 57.5 11 14.75 1.5 73 64 64 -9 12 Gal Gadot 8 52.0 12 15.00 0.0 55 56 56 +1 13 World Heritage 2 52.0 13 17.25 0.0 51 56 56 +5 14 Fairy Circle 2 54.0 14 21.25 0.0 66 60 60 -6 15 Life Lesson 3 51.5 15 22.75 2.5 64 50 54 -10 16 Bushveld 3 52.0 16 28.25 2.5 55 51 51 -4 17 Lorna Lilly 3 53.0 17 30.75 2.5 58 53 53 -5 99 Run For Isla 3 54.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 56 56 +0 99 Ode To The Ocean 2 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mia Fiore | 72 | 77 | 72 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Que Ceu Azul | 71 | 72 | 71 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Can't Catch Me Line | 61 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Secret Recipe | 66 | 73 | 66 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Micke's Bomb | 77 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Beguiling | 50 | 50 | 43 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Count Your Chances | 57 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Jj's Eagle | 77 | 57 | 71 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Green Bubbles | 67 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lady Crusade | 67 | 67 | 62 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Great Barrier | 73 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Gal Gadot | 55 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | World Heritage | 51 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Fairy Circle | 66 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Life Lesson | 64 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 16 | Bushveld | 55 | 56 | 51 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 17 | Lorna Lilly | 58 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Run For Isla | - | 58 | 56 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Ode To The Ocean | - | 62 | 70 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points