Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 86 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Miss Arlberg
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Convocation          5    58.5    1    0.00     0.0   83    93           83    +0
2    Get In The Q         5    61.0    2    0.80     0.0   88    98           98    +10
3    Reefway              2    59.0    3    3.70     2.5   84    89           89    +5
4    Miss Arlberg         2    53.0    4    4.80     2.5   77    77           77    +0
5    Pelargonium          3    58.5    5    5.20     3.5   86    86           86    +0
6    Sweet Symphony       3    61.0    6    6.70     3.5   88    91           91    +3
7    Aisling              3    55.0    7    8.10     3.5   76    79           79    +3
8    Berengaria           2    57.5    8    9.10     2.5   81    86           86    +5
9    Love Bomb            4    55.5    9    11.40    4.0   77    79           79    +2
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Convocation 83 94 83 +11 0.0 -
2 Get In The Q 88 88 98 -10 0.0 -
3 Reefway 84 84 89 -5 2.5 -
4 Miss Arlberg Line 77 74 77 -3 2.5
5 Pelargonium 86 84 86 -2 3.5 -
6 Sweet Symphony 88 86 91 -5 3.5 -
7 Aisling 76 66 79 -13 3.5 -
8 Berengaria 81 79 86 -7 2.5 -
9 Love Bomb 77 77 79 -2 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points