Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 29 MARCH FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
State Of Mind
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Concerto 4 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 72 72 72 +0 2 Sky Velocity 5 55.5 2 0.50 0.0 57 71 71 +14 3 State Of Mind 4 56.0 3 2.50 1.5 66 66 66 +0 4 Beau Kala 2 59.5 4 2.60 0.0 65 76 76 +11 5 Dawn Of Gold 3 58.0 5 3.10 2.5 62 68 68 +6 6 De Janeiro 2 54.5 6 3.60 0.0 60 65 65 +5 7 Miss Tucker 3 55.0 7 4.10 2.5 59 61 61 +2 8 Queen Of Gaul 2 60.0 8 6.10 0.0 66 75 75 +9 9 Zariyah 2 59.5 9 6.60 0.0 71 74 74 +3 9 Colorama 6 57.5 9 6.60 0.0 61 70 70 +9 11 More Than A Dream 2 59.0 11 10.60 0.0 70 73 73 +3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Concerto | 72 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Sky Velocity | 57 | 57 | 71 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | State Of Mind Line | 66 | 65 | 66 | -1 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Beau Kala | 65 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dawn Of Gold | 62 | 63 | 68 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | De Janeiro | 60 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Miss Tucker | 59 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Queen Of Gaul | 66 | 66 | 75 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Zariyah | 71 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Colorama | 61 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | More Than A Dream | 70 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points