Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)

Line Horse
Night Tiger
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Marvel William       2    61.5    1    0.00     2.5   80    76           76    -4
2    Speed Racer          4    59.5    2    0.30     4.0   82    69           72    -10
3    Dragonfly            3    58.5    3    0.80     3.5   75    68           68    -7
4    Night Tiger          5    61.5    4    1.30     0.0   81    81           81    +0
5    Night Bomber         4    58.5    5    2.55     4.0   80    67           70    -10
6    Winter Pearl         6    59.5    6    4.05     0.0   77    77           77    +0
7    Moya Wa Laliga       3    59.5    7    4.80     3.5   77    70           70    -7
8    Kelp Forest          5    56.0    8    4.90     0.0   70    70           70    +0
9    Kaapse Klopse        2    60.0    9    7.65     2.5   83    73           73    -10
10   Let The Flag Fly     2    61.0    10   8.90     2.5   85    75           75    -10
11   Just Var             4    59.5    11   9.65     4.0   82    69           72    -10
12   Unsolved Riddle      3    58.5    12   10.40    3.5   75    68           68    -7
13   Boogiefied (AUS)     4    59.5    13   17.40    4.0   82    69           72    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Marvel William 80 73 76 -3 2.5 -
2 Speed Racer 82 88 72 +16 4.0 -
3 Dragonfly 75 71 68 +3 3.5 -
4 Night Tiger Line 81 67 81 -14 0.0
5 Night Bomber 80 96 70 +26 4.0 -
6 Winter Pearl 77 71 77 -6 0.0 -
7 Moya Wa Laliga 77 81 70 +11 3.5 -
8 Kelp Forest 70 81 70 +11 0.0 -
9 Kaapse Klopse 83 60 73 -13 2.5 -
10 Let The Flag Fly 85 78 75 +3 2.5 -
11 Just Var 82 83 72 +11 4.0 -
12 Unsolved Riddle 75 77 68 +9 3.5 -
13 Boogiefied (AUS) 82 90 72 +18 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points