Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Night Tiger
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Marvel William 2 61.5 1 0.00 2.5 80 76 76 -4 2 Speed Racer 4 59.5 2 0.30 4.0 82 69 72 -10 3 Dragonfly 3 58.5 3 0.80 3.5 75 68 68 -7 4 Night Tiger 5 61.5 4 1.30 0.0 81 81 81 +0 5 Night Bomber 4 58.5 5 2.55 4.0 80 67 70 -10 6 Winter Pearl 6 59.5 6 4.05 0.0 77 77 77 +0 7 Moya Wa Laliga 3 59.5 7 4.80 3.5 77 70 70 -7 8 Kelp Forest 5 56.0 8 4.90 0.0 70 70 70 +0 9 Kaapse Klopse 2 60.0 9 7.65 2.5 83 73 73 -10 10 Let The Flag Fly 2 61.0 10 8.90 2.5 85 75 75 -10 11 Just Var 4 59.5 11 9.65 4.0 82 69 72 -10 12 Unsolved Riddle 3 58.5 12 10.40 3.5 75 68 68 -7 13 Boogiefied (AUS) 4 59.5 13 17.40 4.0 82 69 72 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marvel William | 80 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Speed Racer | 82 | 88 | 72 | +16 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Dragonfly | 75 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Night Tiger Line | 81 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Night Bomber | 80 | 96 | 70 | +26 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Winter Pearl | 77 | 71 | 77 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Moya Wa Laliga | 77 | 81 | 70 | +11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Kelp Forest | 70 | 81 | 70 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Kaapse Klopse | 83 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Let The Flag Fly | 85 | 78 | 75 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Just Var | 82 | 83 | 72 | +11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 12 | Unsolved Riddle | 75 | 77 | 68 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Boogiefied (AUS) | 82 | 90 | 72 | +18 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points