Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 64 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Purple Powahouse
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Northern Warrior 7 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 67 64 67 +0 2 Purple Powahouse 8 59.5 2 0.80 0.0 63 63 63 +0 3 Stevie Gee 5 54.0 3 0.85 0.0 55 52 52 -3 4 Happy Wanderer 5 60.5 4 2.75 0.0 65 65 65 +0 5 Buster Keaton 3 59.5 5 4.55 3.5 63 56 56 -7 6 Majorca Palace 4 55.0 6 6.25 4.0 54 46 46 -8 7 Mac Hardy 4 57.5 7 6.75 4.0 59 51 51 -8 8 Silent Trigger 6 57.0 8 10.35 0.0 66 58 58 -8 9 Eau De Vie 2 51.0 9 10.85 2.5 54 41 44 -10 10 Get Carter 4 53.0 10 10.90 4.0 50 42 42 -8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Warrior | 67 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Purple Powahouse Line | 63 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Stevie Gee | 55 | 65 | 52 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Happy Wanderer | 65 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Buster Keaton | 63 | 60 | 56 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Majorca Palace | 54 | 51 | 46 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mac Hardy | 59 | 64 | 51 | +13 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Silent Trigger | 66 | 60 | 58 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Eau De Vie | 54 | 50 | 44 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Get Carter | 50 | 46 | 42 | +4 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points