Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Irontail
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Two Of Us            6    54.5    1    0.00     0.0   71    73           71    +0
2    Letaba               6    53.5    2    0.05     0.0   69    71           71    +2
3    Irontail             4    57.5    3    0.25     5.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Quant Master         5    61.0    4    0.65     0.0   76    86           86    +10
5    Dispicable           6    56.0    5    0.70     0.0   69    76           76    +7
6    Beechamwood Boy      6    59.5    6    1.90     0.0   79    83           83    +4
7    Bugsy Malone         5    59.5    7    2.80     0.0   73    83           83    +10
8    Passage Of Power     6    57.5    8    2.95     0.0   75    79           79    +4
9    Captain Who          4    61.0    9    3.00     5.0   76    76           76    +0
10   Bat Out Of Hell      4    61.0    10   4.40     5.0   76    76           76    +0
11   Parktown             5    59.5    11   5.90     0.0   73    83           83    +10
12   Blackwhitedynamite   3    57.5    12   7.80     4.5   75    70           70    -5
13   Successful Ruler     4    54.0    13   11.80    5.0   67    62           62    -5
14   Parallax             4    54.5    14   14.70    5.0   71    63           63    -8
15   Trafalgar Square     6    56.0    15   20.50    0.0   72    76           76    +4
99   Bernie's Dream       4    60.5    99   0.00     5.0   -     75           75    +0
99   Guiseppi's Song      4    56.0    99   0.00     5.0   -     66           66    +0
99   Callmemrgreenlight   3    53.5    99   0.00     4.5   -     62           62    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Two Of Us 71 67 71 -4 0.0 -
2 Letaba 69 73 71 +2 0.0 -
3 Irontail Line 69 64 69 -5 5.0
4 Quant Master 76 74 86 -12 0.0 -
5 Dispicable 69 56 76 -20 0.0 -
6 Beechamwood Boy 79 84 83 +1 0.0 -
7 Bugsy Malone 73 49 83 -34 0.0 -
8 Passage Of Power 75 76 79 -3 0.0 -
9 Captain Who 76 65 76 -11 5.0 -
10 Bat Out Of Hell 76 65 76 -11 5.0 -
11 Parktown 73 69 83 -14 0.0 -
12 Blackwhitedynamite 75 86 70 +16 4.5 -
13 Successful Ruler 67 60 62 -2 5.0 -
14 Parallax 71 71 63 +8 5.0 -
15 Trafalgar Square 72 69 76 -7 0.0 -
99 Bernie's Dream - 69 75 -6 5.0 -
99 Guiseppi's Song - 60 66 -6 5.0 -
99 Callmemrgreenlight - 45 62 -17 4.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points