Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 6 APRIL MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Written In Stone
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Run For Cover 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 72 80 72 +0 2 Prince Of Kildare 4 58.0 2 3.75 1.5 74 74 74 +0 3 Written In Stone 9 48.0 3 5.15 0.0 56 56 56 +0 4 Feel All Right 2 56.5 4 6.00 0.0 79 73 73 -6 5 Van Meijel 3 57.5 5 6.10 3.0 67 69 69 +2 6 Putins Promise 5 60.0 6 7.10 0.0 72 80 80 +8 7 Guardia Regine 3 59.5 7 7.40 3.0 77 73 73 -4 8 Arividicio 5 59.5 8 7.70 0.0 71 79 79 +8 9 Count Your Chances 5 52.0 9 8.00 0.0 55 64 64 +9 10 Iron Sky 3 59.5 10 8.10 3.0 71 73 73 +2 11 Trippis Tune 3 59.5 11 12.50 3.0 77 73 73 -4 99 Nazare 3 57.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Run For Cover | 72 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Prince Of Kildare | 74 | 80 | 74 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Written In Stone Line | 56 | 67 | 56 | +11 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Feel All Right | 79 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Van Meijel | 67 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Putins Promise | 72 | 73 | 80 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Guardia Regine | 77 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Arividicio | 71 | 50 | 79 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Count Your Chances | 55 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Iron Sky | 71 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Trippis Tune | 77 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Nazare | - | 70 | 68 | +2 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points