Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: KWAZULU-NATAL STAKES (For Fillies and Mares - Non Black Type)
Line Horse
Captain's Christy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winter Greeting 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 105 114 111 +6 2 Moonshiningthrough 3 57.0 2 2.40 3.5 98 101 101 +3 2 Captain's Christy 4 55.5 2 2.40 4.0 97 97 97 +0 4 Sabatini 2 55.5 4 2.80 2.5 91 100 100 +9 5 Baltic Secret 2 57.0 5 3.20 2.5 104 103 103 -1 6 Ripple Effect 2 58.5 6 3.90 2.5 107 106 106 -1 7 No Filter 4 54.5 7 5.40 4.0 93 95 95 +2 8 Russian Doll 2 55.5 8 6.50 2.5 90 100 100 +10 9 Warship 3 55.5 9 12.30 3.5 92 98 98 +6 10 Hot Pearl 2 54.0 10 14.20 2.5 92 97 97 +5 99 War Empress 5 52.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 99 99 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winter Greeting | 105 | 104 | 111 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Moonshiningthrough | 98 | 96 | 101 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Captain's Christy Line | 97 | 95 | 97 | -2 | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Sabatini | 91 | 91 | 100 | -9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Baltic Secret | 104 | 98 | 103 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Ripple Effect | 107 | 102 | 106 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | No Filter | 93 | 100 | 95 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Russian Doll | 90 | 93 | 100 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Warship | 92 | 87 | 98 | -11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Hot Pearl | 92 | 90 | 97 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | War Empress | - | 92 | 99 | -7 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points