Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Winter Waves
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Midnight Caller      4    59.0    1    0.00     1.5   74    68           74    +0
2    Political Party      2    55.5    2    0.90     0.0   67    68           68    +1
3    Winter Waves         7    59.0    3    1.90     0.0   74    74           74    +0
4    Lazy Guy             4    52.0    4    2.20     1.5   57    57           57    +0
5    Bom Bom              4    57.0    5    3.10     1.5   76    66           66    -10
6    Lake Como            3    55.0    6    3.30     2.5   69    59           59    -10
7    Lou Lou The Legend   3    52.0    7    4.10     2.5   59    53           53    -6
99   Rugger Bugger        3    60.5    99   0.00     2.5   -     69           69    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Midnight Caller 74 77 74 +3 1.5 -
2 Political Party 67 66 68 -2 0.0 -
3 Winter Waves Line 74 77 74 +3 0.0
4 Lazy Guy 57 61 57 +4 1.5 -
5 Bom Bom 76 64 66 -2 1.5 -
6 Lake Como 69 61 59 +2 2.5 -
7 Lou Lou The Legend 59 59 53 +6 2.5 -
99 Rugger Bugger - 77 69 +8 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points