Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: OPEN A TABGOLD ACCOUNT - 031 314 1874 MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Iron Will
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Phutulicious 3 59.5 1 0.00 2.0 80 74 80 +0 2 Joshua Hotsnake 3 58.5 2 1.70 2.0 73 75 75 +2 3 Iron Will 4 58.0 3 2.80 1.0 75 75 75 +0 4 Giambattista 3 60.5 4 3.40 2.0 77 77 77 +0 5 Forest Jump 8 57.5 5 4.20 0.0 71 75 75 +4 6 Crested Eagle 3 55.0 6 4.70 2.0 66 65 65 -1 7 Duke Of Oxford 3 56.5 7 5.00 2.0 77 68 68 -9 8 Bunting 4 55.0 8 9.20 1.0 66 67 67 +1 9 Take To War 4 52.0 9 10.10 1.0 59 61 61 +2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phutulicious | 80 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Joshua Hotsnake | 73 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Iron Will Line | 75 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Giambattista | 77 | 87 | 77 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Forest Jump | 71 | 62 | 75 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Crested Eagle | 66 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Duke Of Oxford | 77 | 66 | 68 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bunting | 66 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Take To War | 59 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points