Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CAPE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 74 & below)

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Line Horse
Palo Queen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Strata               4    60.0    1    0.00     3.5   77    66           66    -11
2    Palo Queen           5    60.0    2    0.30     0.0   73    73           73    +0
3    Wordsworth           7    55.5    3    1.30     0.0   59    64           64    +5
4    Wylie Jack           6    57.0    4    2.55     0.0   62    67           67    +5
5    Lovers Lane          2    52.5    5    3.80     2.0   53    54           54    +1
6    Easy Money           4    57.0    6    4.30     3.5   70    60           60    -10
7    Rock On Tommy        3    52.5    7    6.30     3.0   50    52           52    +2
8    Xplicit Content      4    56.0    8    7.05     3.5   61    58           58    -3
9    Fire Chaser          2    57.0    9    7.55     2.0   70    63           63    -7
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Strata 77 74 66 +8 3.5 -
2 Palo Queen Line 73 70 73 -3 0.0
3 Wordsworth 59 65 64 +1 0.0 -
4 Wylie Jack 62 61 67 -6 0.0 -
5 Lovers Lane 53 58 54 +4 2.0 -
6 Easy Money 70 56 60 -4 3.5 -
7 Rock On Tommy 50 50 52 -2 3.0 -
8 Xplicit Content 61 58 58 ✓ Match 3.5 -
9 Fire Chaser 70 52 63 -11 2.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points