Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: 4RACING WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA / CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Don't Cry For Me 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 - - - +0 2 Winds Of Change 3 60.0 2 0.50 3.0 - - - +0 3 Serrano 3 60.0 3 8.00 3.0 - - - +0 4 Sicily 2 60.0 4 8.50 2.0 - - - +0 5 Kwagga Blitz 2 60.0 5 13.75 2.0 - - - +0 6 Beartic 3 60.0 6 18.25 3.0 - - - +0 7 Daring Dash 2 60.0 7 19.25 2.0 - - - +0 99 One More 2 60.0 99 0.00 2.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don't Cry For Me | - | 103 | - | +103 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Winds Of Change | - | 102 | - | +102 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Serrano | - | 75 | - | +75 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Sicily | - | 62 | - | +62 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kwagga Blitz | - | 79 | - | +79 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Beartic | - | 54 | - | +54 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Daring Dash | - | 94 | - | +94 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | One More | - | 106 | - | - | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points