Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Theory Of Flight
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Quantum King 3 58.0 1 0.00 4.5 98 98 98 +0 2 Val d'Orcia 3 58.0 2 0.80 4.5 98 98 98 +0 3 Visiway 4 58.5 3 1.10 5.0 96 98 98 +2 4 Theory Of Flight 4 57.5 4 1.50 5.0 96 96 96 +0 5 Epic Dream 6 54.5 5 2.60 0.0 85 100 100 +15 6 Sheldon 6 55.5 6 4.60 0.0 93 102 102 +9 99 Paisley Park 4 61.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 103 103 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quantum King | 98 | 99 | 98 | +1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Val d'Orcia | 98 | 105 | 98 | +7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Visiway | 96 | 83 | 98 | -15 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Theory Of Flight Line | 96 | 91 | 96 | -5 | 5.0 | ||
| 5 | Epic Dream | 85 | 75 | 100 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sheldon | 93 | 106 | 102 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Paisley Park | - | 91 | 103 | -12 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points