Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)
Line Horse
Country Time
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Why Not Jackie 5 55.5 1 0.00 0.0 57 57 57 +0 2 Country Time 5 62.0 2 2.25 0.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Whiskey Bravo 2 58.5 3 2.45 2.0 67 59 59 -8 4 Phantomoftheforest 3 57.5 4 4.20 3.0 61 55 55 -6 5 Simply Beautiful 3 61.0 5 5.70 3.0 68 62 62 -6 6 Royal Lytham 4 60.5 6 6.10 3.5 71 60 61 -10 7 Mrs Shackleton 2 52.0 7 6.30 2.0 53 46 46 -7 8 Shifting Path 2 58.5 8 7.05 2.0 63 59 59 -4 9 Amethystic 2 55.0 9 7.55 2.0 56 52 52 -4 10 Beneath The Moon 2 57.5 10 8.30 2.0 61 57 57 -4 11 Seeking Peace 3 56.0 11 9.30 3.0 58 52 52 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Why Not Jackie | 57 | 65 | 57 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Country Time Line | 70 | 62 | 70 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Whiskey Bravo | 67 | 66 | 59 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Phantomoftheforest | 61 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Simply Beautiful | 68 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Royal Lytham | 71 | 69 | 61 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Mrs Shackleton | 53 | 50 | 46 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Shifting Path | 63 | 62 | 59 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Amethystic | 56 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Beneath The Moon | 61 | 59 | 57 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Seeking Peace | 58 | 55 | 52 | +3 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points