Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAB HAWAII STAKES (Grade 2) (Open)
Line Horse
Celtic Rumours
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sandringham Summit 2 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 123 108 108 -15 2 Lucky Lad 4 57.5 2 1.25 1.0 117 110 110 -7 3 White Pearl 4 53.0 3 3.00 1.0 112 99 102 -10 4 Celtic Rumours 5 55.5 4 3.25 0.0 106 106 106 +0 5 Unzen 3 58.0 5 3.50 2.0 109 106 106 -3 6 Savannah Storm 5 58.0 6 6.00 0.0 103 109 109 +6 7 At My Command 2 58.0 7 6.25 0.0 124 109 114 -10 8 Texas Red 5 58.0 8 8.25 0.0 104 109 109 +5 9 Anfields Rocket 5 60.0 9 13.25 0.0 115 113 113 -2 10 Mujbar (GB) 6 58.0 10 99.99 0.0 105 109 109 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandringham Summit | 123 | 123 | 108 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lucky Lad | 117 | 118 | 110 | +8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | White Pearl | 112 | 114 | 102 | +12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Celtic Rumours Line | 106 | 104 | 106 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Unzen | 109 | 116 | 106 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Savannah Storm | 103 | 102 | 109 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | At My Command | 124 | 116 | 114 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Texas Red | 104 | 119 | 109 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Anfields Rocket | 115 | 106 | 113 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Mujbar (GB) | 105 | 103 | 109 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points