Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: TAB SA DERBY (Grade 1) (3 year olds (3rd Leg SA Triple Crown))
Line Horse
Pure Predator
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Purple Pitcher 4 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 120 112 112 -8 2 Pure Predator 2 60.0 2 0.25 0.0 116 116 116 +0 3 Mondial 3 60.0 3 0.40 5.5 105 111 111 +6 4 Hotarubi 4 60.0 4 2.50 2.0 116 116 116 +0 5 Taxhaven 4 60.0 5 3.00 2.0 78 115 115 +37 6 Marauding Horde 4 60.0 6 3.50 2.0 96 114 114 +18 7 Viva Brazil 3 60.0 7 3.60 5.5 94 107 107 +13 8 Shoot The Rapids 4 60.0 8 4.25 2.0 89 114 114 +25 9 Presley 4 60.0 9 6.75 2.0 98 112 112 +14 10 Atarime 3 60.0 10 7.75 5.5 83 105 105 +22 11 Twenty Drachma's 4 60.0 11 9.15 2.0 92 112 112 +20 12 Thunee Playa 4 60.0 12 9.25 2.0 80 112 112 +32 13 George Handel 4 60.0 13 36.25 2.0 93 112 112 +19 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Purple Pitcher | 120 | 121 | 112 | +9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Pure Predator Line | 116 | 118 | 116 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Mondial | 105 | 115 | 111 | +4 | 5.5 | - | |
| 4 | Hotarubi | 116 | 98 | 116 | -18 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Taxhaven | 78 | 96 | 115 | -19 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Marauding Horde | 96 | 112 | 114 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Viva Brazil | 94 | 94 | 107 | -13 | 5.5 | - | |
| 8 | Shoot The Rapids | 89 | 117 | 114 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Presley | 98 | 90 | 112 | -22 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Atarime | 83 | 103 | 105 | -2 | 5.5 | - | |
| 11 | Twenty Drachma's | 92 | 83 | 112 | -29 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Thunee Playa | 80 | 107 | 112 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | George Handel | 93 | 85 | 112 | -27 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points