Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: EARL OF SURREY ALLOWANCE PLATE (For winners)
Line Horse
Coffeeberry
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 5
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 5
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 5
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Aerial Display 5 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 72 70 70 -2 2 Walking Thru Time 3 55.0 2 0.25 3.5 70 58 60 -10 3 Coffeeberry 5 57.0 3 0.35 0.0 74 74 74 +0 4 Why Madera 2 60.0 4 12.35 0.0 89 75 79 -10 99 Zazu 6 53.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aerial Display | 72 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Walking Thru Time | 70 | 73 | 60 | +13 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Coffeeberry Line | 74 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Why Madera | 89 | 89 | 79 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Zazu | - | 71 | 62 | +9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points