Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 year-olds)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cruise Control 5 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 - - - +0 2 Glitterfox 2 54.5 2 8.25 3.0 - - - +0 3 Bouquet 2 57.5 3 8.35 3.0 - - - +0 4 Antonia Augusta 2 55.0 4 14.85 3.0 - - - +0 99 Forest Spy 2 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - - - +0 99 Feeling Foxy 2 54.5 99 0.00 3.0 - - - +0 99 Sand Bank 2 55.5 99 0.00 3.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruise Control | - | 117 | - | +117 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Glitterfox | - | 57 | - | +57 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bouquet | - | 63 | - | +63 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Antonia Augusta | - | 57 | - | +57 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Forest Spy | - | 85 | - | - | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Feeling Foxy | - | 52 | - | - | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sand Bank | - | 63 | - | - | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points