Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: SIR THEOPHILUS ST GEORGE FM 84 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Capetown Beauty
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Blue Horizon 4 53.0 1 0.00 1.0 77 68 77 +0 2 Sashay Away 3 59.5 2 1.05 2.0 91 83 83 -8 3 Capetown Beauty 3 59.0 3 1.15 2.0 82 82 82 +0 4 Sweet Symphony 3 61.5 4 4.05 2.0 87 84 84 -3 5 Kailene 3 59.0 5 4.65 2.0 82 78 78 -4 6 Lady Lacewing 2 55.5 6 5.05 0.0 80 75 75 -5 7 African Folklore 2 55.0 7 8.15 0.0 79 74 74 -5 8 Mvulazana 3 61.0 8 8.20 2.0 86 82 82 -4 9 Fabulous 2 56.0 9 10.50 0.0 79 76 76 -3 99 Bosnay 4 58.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Horizon | 77 | 84 | 77 | +7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sashay Away | 91 | 88 | 83 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Capetown Beauty Line | 82 | 76 | 82 | -6 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Sweet Symphony | 87 | 86 | 84 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kailene | 82 | 79 | 78 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lady Lacewing | 80 | 58 | 75 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | African Folklore | 79 | 76 | 74 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mvulazana | 86 | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Fabulous | 79 | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bosnay | - | 74 | 78 | -4 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points