Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Northern Warrior
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Fire Tonic           3    56.5    1    0.00     3.0   69    66           69    +0
2    Northern Warrior     7    55.5    2    1.10     0.0   70    70           70    +0
3    Gorgeous Guy         2    58.5    3    1.25     2.0   77    72           72    -5
4    Mar Del Plata        2    59.0    4    2.15     2.0   78    73           73    -5
5    Gimme A Rainbow      4    58.5    5    3.25     3.5   73    69           69    -4
6    Now I Got You        5    58.0    6    3.55     0.0   80    75           75    -5
7    El Draque            5    55.0    7    4.35     0.0   74    69           69    -5
8    Intrepid             3    58.0    8    4.75     3.0   72    69           69    -3
9    Happy Wanderer       5    54.0    9    5.05     0.0   64    67           67    +3
10   Navajo Dancer        2    59.0    10   12.15    2.0   78    73           73    -5
99   Watch Tower          2    55.5    99   0.00     2.0   -     66           66    +0
99   Servilius            3    56.5    99   0.00     3.0   -     66           66    +0
99   Imperial Power       4    58.5    99   0.00     3.5   -     69           69    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Fire Tonic 69 72 69 +3 3.0 -
2 Northern Warrior Line 70 73 70 +3 0.0
3 Gorgeous Guy 77 81 72 +9 2.0 -
4 Mar Del Plata 78 77 73 +4 2.0 -
5 Gimme A Rainbow 73 74 69 +5 3.5 -
6 Now I Got You 80 67 75 -8 0.0 -
7 El Draque 74 57 69 -12 0.0 -
8 Intrepid 72 73 69 +4 3.0 -
9 Happy Wanderer 64 55 67 -12 0.0 -
10 Navajo Dancer 78 56 73 -17 2.0 -
99 Watch Tower - 68 66 +2 2.0 -
99 Servilius - 65 66 -1 3.0 -
99 Imperial Power - 89 69 +20 3.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points