Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: RaceCape Powered By Hollywoodbets CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Winter Pearl
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Grand Bay 2 57.0 1 0.00 2.0 76 68 68 -8 2 Night Bomber 4 57.5 2 0.20 3.5 77 66 67 -10 3 Winter Pearl 6 59.0 3 1.45 0.0 76 76 76 +0 4 Fort Red 4 60.0 4 1.65 3.5 78 71 71 -7 5 Rougarouin 4 58.0 5 2.15 3.5 78 67 68 -10 6 Guarding The Wall 4 55.5 6 2.20 3.5 73 62 63 -10 7 Spirit's Unite 2 54.5 7 3.70 2.0 71 63 63 -8 8 Gravity 4 59.0 8 3.90 3.5 80 69 70 -10 9 The Tinkerman 3 60.5 9 4.20 3.0 78 73 73 -5 10 Wissa's On Fire 4 60.0 10 4.60 3.5 82 71 72 -10 11 Raf's Rocket 2 58.5 11 7.10 2.0 79 71 71 -8 12 Street Outlaw 5 57.5 12 7.30 0.0 73 73 73 +0 13 Just Var 4 58.0 13 7.70 3.5 78 67 68 -10 14 Champagne Mac 4 56.0 14 8.00 3.5 74 63 64 -10 15 Unsolved Riddle 3 56.0 15 10.00 3.0 70 64 64 -6 99 Night Tiger 5 61.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 81 81 +0 99 No Apologies 2 62.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grand Bay | 76 | 74 | 68 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Night Bomber | 77 | 96 | 67 | +29 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Winter Pearl Line | 76 | 71 | 76 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Fort Red | 78 | 66 | 71 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Rougarouin | 78 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Guarding The Wall | 73 | 67 | 63 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Spirit's Unite | 71 | 70 | 63 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Gravity | 80 | 63 | 70 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | The Tinkerman | 78 | 76 | 73 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Wissa's On Fire | 82 | 71 | 72 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Raf's Rocket | 79 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Street Outlaw | 73 | 78 | 73 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Just Var | 78 | 83 | 68 | +15 | 3.5 | - | |
| 14 | Champagne Mac | 74 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 15 | Unsolved Riddle | 70 | 77 | 64 | +13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Night Tiger | - | 67 | 81 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | No Apologies | - | 83 | 78 | +5 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points