Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
On Board
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 First Masterpiece 4 58.0 1 0.00 3.5 78 73 73 -5 2 Great Cat 5 58.0 2 0.40 0.0 74 80 80 +6 3 On Board 3 54.5 3 0.90 3.0 67 67 67 +0 4 Love Shack 2 59.0 4 1.20 2.0 80 78 78 -2 5 Silver Screen 2 55.5 5 1.40 2.0 69 71 71 +2 6 Night Vigil 4 61.5 6 1.80 3.5 85 80 80 -5 7 Double Dream 3 57.0 7 2.00 3.0 72 72 72 +0 8 Tried And True 5 57.0 8 2.50 0.0 72 78 78 +6 9 Tres Chic 4 56.5 9 2.90 3.5 75 70 70 -5 10 Baubles And Beads 2 58.0 10 3.20 2.0 74 76 76 +2 11 Inner Sense 2 54.0 11 3.25 2.0 66 68 68 +2 12 Gimmethewaltz 2 59.5 12 4.00 2.0 81 79 79 -2 13 Prankster 2 55.5 13 7.25 2.0 73 71 71 -2 14 Tibetan Voyage 3 53.0 14 7.55 3.0 68 64 64 -4 15 Hear My Voice 2 58.5 15 9.05 2.0 75 77 77 +2 16 Fire Chaser 2 54.0 16 10.80 2.0 70 68 68 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Masterpiece | 78 | 86 | 73 | +13 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Great Cat | 74 | 82 | 80 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | On Board Line | 67 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Love Shack | 80 | 69 | 78 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Silver Screen | 69 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Night Vigil | 85 | 91 | 80 | +11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Double Dream | 72 | 71 | 72 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tried And True | 72 | 75 | 78 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Tres Chic | 75 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Baubles And Beads | 74 | 72 | 76 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Inner Sense | 66 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Gimmethewaltz | 81 | 78 | 79 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Prankster | 73 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 14 | Tibetan Voyage | 68 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 15 | Hear My Voice | 75 | 54 | 77 | -23 | 2.0 | - | |
| 16 | Fire Chaser | 70 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points