Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: JOHAN VAN DER LINDEN, NICK BLIGNAUT, JACOBUS VILJOEN FM 92 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Donna Mo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 I Am Regal 5 52.0 1 0.00 0.0 76 80 76 +0 2 Donna Mo 2 56.0 2 1.90 0.0 91 91 91 +0 3 Opera Glass 4 57.0 3 3.00 1.5 86 89 89 +3 4 Special Charm 3 55.0 4 4.30 3.5 82 79 79 -3 5 Bellevarde 3 58.0 5 4.70 3.5 96 85 86 -10 6 Alphabetty 5 54.5 6 8.25 0.0 81 85 85 +4 7 Elembee 5 55.5 7 9.50 0.0 83 87 87 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I Am Regal | 76 | 75 | 76 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Donna Mo Line | 91 | 89 | 91 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Opera Glass | 86 | 81 | 89 | -8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Special Charm | 82 | 104 | 79 | +25 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Bellevarde | 96 | 107 | 86 | +21 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Alphabetty | 81 | 71 | 85 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Elembee | 83 | 77 | 87 | -10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points