Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: ARTHUR HAVERGAL, JACOB KALT, MICHAEL COETZEE MR 90 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Silver Tudor
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Halberdier 4 52.0 1 0.00 3.5 77 67 77 +0 2 Longsword 2 52.5 2 0.05 2.0 79 71 71 -8 3 Silver Tudor 5 60.5 3 2.50 0.0 91 91 91 +0 4 Max The Otter 2 52.0 4 2.80 2.0 74 70 70 -4 5 Esquevelle 3 59.5 5 2.85 3.0 89 83 83 -6 6 Siberian Steel 3 51.5 6 3.85 3.0 81 67 71 -10 7 San Simon 3 56.0 7 6.00 3.0 86 76 76 -10 8 Cian The Conqueror 5 57.0 8 7.50 0.0 84 84 84 +0 9 Suryavarman 2 59.5 9 9.00 2.0 89 85 85 -4 10 Prophet 2 60.5 10 9.10 2.0 91 87 87 -4 11 What A Tiger 5 55.5 11 14.00 0.0 81 81 81 +0 99 Dr Faustus 2 59.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 84 84 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halberdier | 77 | 83 | 77 | +6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Longsword | 79 | 72 | 71 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Silver Tudor Line | 91 | 99 | 91 | +8 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Max The Otter | 74 | 72 | 70 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Esquevelle | 89 | 86 | 83 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Siberian Steel | 81 | 80 | 71 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | San Simon | 86 | 86 | 76 | +10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Cian The Conqueror | 84 | 81 | 84 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Suryavarman | 89 | 84 | 85 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Prophet | 91 | 66 | 87 | -21 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | What A Tiger | 81 | 71 | 81 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dr Faustus | - | 78 | 84 | -6 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points