Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: Max payout R20million with WSB MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Run To Rio
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cats Pajamas 3 57.0 1 0.00 3.0 - 72 6 +6 2 Silver Savage 2 60.0 2 0.10 2.0 73 80 80 +7 3 Run To Rio 4 60.0 3 1.80 3.5 77 77 77 +0 4 Famous Warrior 3 55.5 4 2.90 3.0 - 69 69 +69 5 Mr Hotstepper 2 57.0 5 3.30 2.0 - 74 74 +74 6 Glamorz 3 54.5 6 3.35 3.0 - 67 67 +67 7 Magma Magic 4 60.0 7 3.65 3.5 71 77 77 +6 8 Bomber Stream 4 60.0 8 7.05 3.5 70 77 77 +7 9 Lucky Spirit 3 57.0 9 8.45 3.0 - 72 72 +72 10 Sur La Lune 3 56.0 10 10.55 3.0 - 70 70 +70 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cats Pajamas | - | 119 | 6 | +113 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Silver Savage | 73 | 52 | 80 | -28 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Run To Rio Line | 77 | 71 | 77 | -6 | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Famous Warrior | - | 90 | 69 | +21 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mr Hotstepper | - | 87 | 74 | +13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Glamorz | - | 62 | 67 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Magma Magic | 71 | 81 | 77 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Bomber Stream | 70 | 52 | 77 | -25 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Lucky Spirit | - | 70 | 72 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sur La Lune | - | 48 | 70 | -22 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points