Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 23 APRIL FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Della's Sword
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Simply Magic 3 57.0 1 0.00 3.0 62 62 62 +0 2 Golden Chandelier 2 59.5 2 2.25 2.0 88 69 78 -10 3 Della's Sword 3 52.5 3 2.50 3.0 53 53 53 +0 4 Princess Lola 2 62.0 4 2.75 2.0 76 74 74 -2 5 Red Carpet Girl 3 57.0 5 3.25 3.0 62 62 62 +0 6 Fennec Fox 5 58.0 6 3.75 0.0 64 70 70 +6 7 Smelting 7 54.0 7 4.00 0.0 56 62 62 +6 8 Southern Style 5 53.5 8 5.25 0.0 63 61 61 -2 9 Dakota Cat 2 60.5 9 6.50 2.0 73 71 71 -2 10 Lil Miss Moneybags 3 58.0 10 6.75 3.0 72 64 64 -8 11 Pinatubo 2 57.0 11 7.25 2.0 83 64 73 -10 12 Vathomvlaffie 2 60.0 12 8.50 2.0 72 70 70 -2 13 Galla Vanting 2 59.5 13 8.75 2.0 67 69 69 +2 99 Wilkies 2 58.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 67 67 +0 99 Out The Mist 3 60.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simply Magic | 62 | 67 | 62 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Golden Chandelier | 88 | 82 | 78 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Della's Sword Line | 53 | 56 | 53 | +3 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Princess Lola | 76 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Red Carpet Girl | 62 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fennec Fox | 64 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Smelting | 56 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Southern Style | 63 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Dakota Cat | 73 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lil Miss Moneybags | 72 | 70 | 64 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Pinatubo | 83 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Vathomvlaffie | 72 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Galla Vanting | 67 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Wilkies | - | 50 | 67 | -17 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Out The Mist | - | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points