Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: Call now! Or play online. www.trackandball.co.za MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Joshua Hotsnake
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Kumemori 5 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 74 77 74 +0 2 Joshua Hotsnake 3 59.0 2 3.80 2.0 74 74 74 +0 3 El Draque 5 58.5 3 4.05 0.0 73 77 77 +4 4 King's Island 4 58.0 4 5.85 1.0 77 73 73 -4 5 Sweeper Keeper 4 58.0 5 7.55 1.0 77 73 73 -4 6 Irish Luck 2 57.5 6 7.65 0.0 79 74 74 -5 7 Ultra Quick 6 59.5 7 9.35 0.0 78 78 78 +0 99 Winter Waves 7 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 77 77 +0 99 Cerulean Dancer 2 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kumemori | 74 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Joshua Hotsnake Line | 74 | 67 | 74 | -7 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | El Draque | 73 | 57 | 77 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | King's Island | 77 | 72 | 73 | -1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sweeper Keeper | 77 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Irish Luck | 79 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Ultra Quick | 78 | 71 | 78 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Winter Waves | - | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cerulean Dancer | - | 71 | 68 | +3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points