Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 67 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Last Ginger
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Mysterious Girl      2    59.5    1    0.00     0.0   66    78           66    +0
2    Roy's Rocker         3    52.5    2    0.70     3.5   52    64           64    +12
3    Last Ginger          4    57.0    3    0.80     1.5   76    76           76    +0
4    True Love's Kiss     3    60.0    4    0.95     3.5   74    78           78    +4
5    Theappleofmyeye      3    60.0    5    1.05     3.5   67    78           78    +11
6    Free Will            3    52.0    6    3.55     3.5   51    59           59    +8
7    Mythical Tune        3    51.5    7    3.65     3.5   52    58           58    +6
8    Drive By             6    55.5    8    4.75     0.0   58    70           70    +12
9    Status Quo           3    56.5    9    6.35     3.5   67    65           65    -2
10   Hot Strike           7    59.0    10   6.55     0.0   65    77           77    +12
11   Top Ten              4    52.5    11   7.95     1.5   52    61           61    +9
12   Burmese Tiara        4    60.5    12   10.05    1.5   68    77           77    +9
13   Shaken Not Stirred   4    55.5    13   11.25    1.5   61    67           67    +6
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mysterious Girl 66 69 66 +3 0.0 -
2 Roy's Rocker 52 53 64 -11 3.5 -
3 Last Ginger Line 76 64 76 -12 1.5
4 True Love's Kiss 74 74 78 -4 3.5 -
5 Theappleofmyeye 67 63 78 -15 3.5 -
6 Free Will 51 49 59 -10 3.5 -
7 Mythical Tune 52 50 58 -8 3.5 -
8 Drive By 58 68 70 -2 0.0 -
9 Status Quo 67 58 65 -7 3.5 -
10 Hot Strike 65 59 77 -18 0.0 -
11 Top Ten 52 50 61 -11 1.5 -
12 Burmese Tiara 68 68 77 -9 1.5 -
13 Shaken Not Stirred 61 55 67 -12 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points