Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Callaburn
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dark Silver 4 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 77 69 69 -8 2 Douglas Dragon 3 60.0 2 1.75 3.5 72 70 70 -2 3 Callaburn 2 60.0 3 5.00 0.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Teo Torriatte 4 56.5 4 6.50 1.5 75 62 65 -10 5 Russian Lotus 3 60.0 5 7.75 3.5 - 65 65 +65 6 Taxhaven 4 60.0 6 7.95 1.5 96 69 86 -10 7 Touched By Stars 5 60.0 7 8.45 0.0 55 72 72 +17 8 Karoo Gold 3 60.0 8 8.95 3.5 77 65 67 -10 9 Dhoni 2 60.0 9 18.45 0.0 78 72 72 -6 99 Mishrah 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dark Silver | 77 | 84 | 69 | +15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Douglas Dragon | 72 | 89 | 70 | +19 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Callaburn Line | 72 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Teo Torriatte | 75 | 94 | 65 | +29 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Russian Lotus | - | 59 | 65 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Taxhaven | 96 | 96 | 86 | +10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Touched By Stars | 55 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Karoo Gold | 77 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Dhoni | 78 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mishrah | - | 61 | 65 | -4 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points