Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 7 MAY MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Carnelo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Leao Alado           2    60.0    1    0.00     0.0   75    70           75    +0
2    Guy Alexander        3    55.5    2    1.50     2.5   61    59           59    -2
3    Carnelo              6    54.5    3    1.70     0.0   62    62           62    +0
4    Vava Vegas           5    55.5    4    1.90     0.0   61    64           64    +3
5    Jp Two Thousand      3    57.5    5    2.40     2.5   65    62           62    -3
6    Putins Promise       5    60.0    6    2.45     0.0   70    72           72    +2
7    Viva De Janeiro      5    59.0    7    3.45     0.0   68    69           69    +1
8    Kambulu              3    59.5    8    8.20     2.5   69    64           64    -5
9    Future Africa        2    60.0    9    10.45    0.0   75    70           70    -5
10   Kashkaval            3    61.0    10   10.70    2.5   72    67           67    -5
99   Hakas Krakas         3    57.5    99   0.00     2.5   -     60           60    +0
99   Thambi               5    60.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     71           71    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Leao Alado 75 77 75 +2 0.0 -
2 Guy Alexander 61 72 59 +13 2.5 -
3 Carnelo Line 62 75 62 +13 0.0
4 Vava Vegas 61 58 64 -6 0.0 -
5 Jp Two Thousand 65 61 62 -1 2.5 -
6 Putins Promise 70 73 72 +1 0.0 -
7 Viva De Janeiro 68 50 69 -19 0.0 -
8 Kambulu 69 64 64 ✓ Match 2.5 -
9 Future Africa 75 72 70 +2 0.0 -
10 Kashkaval 72 74 67 +7 2.5 -
99 Hakas Krakas - 65 60 +5 2.5 -
99 Thambi - 55 71 -16 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points