Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)
Line Horse
Wylie Jack
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Wordsworth 7 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 59 59 59 +0 2 Shifting Path 2 59.5 2 2.25 2.0 63 59 59 -4 3 Wylie Jack 6 59.0 3 2.65 0.0 62 62 62 +0 4 Why Not Jackie 5 59.0 4 2.95 0.0 62 62 62 +0 5 Seeking Peace 3 57.5 5 4.45 3.0 58 53 53 -5 6 Electric Feels 5 56.5 6 5.70 0.0 57 57 57 +0 7 Lovers Lane 2 54.5 7 5.90 2.0 53 49 49 -4 8 Final Move 3 54.0 8 6.00 3.0 52 46 46 -6 9 Xplicit Content 4 54.0 9 10.00 3.5 56 45 46 -10 10 Whiskey Bravo 2 59.0 10 11.25 2.0 66 58 58 -8 11 Tibetan Voyage 3 60.0 11 11.35 3.0 68 58 58 -10 12 Winter Frolic 2 59.0 12 13.35 2.0 66 58 58 -8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wordsworth | 59 | 65 | 59 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Shifting Path | 63 | 62 | 59 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Wylie Jack Line | 62 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Why Not Jackie | 62 | 65 | 62 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Seeking Peace | 58 | 55 | 53 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Electric Feels | 57 | 57 | 57 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lovers Lane | 53 | 58 | 49 | +9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Final Move | 52 | 50 | 46 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Xplicit Content | 56 | 58 | 46 | +12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Whiskey Bravo | 66 | 66 | 58 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Tibetan Voyage | 68 | 51 | 58 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Winter Frolic | 66 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points