Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 27 APRIL MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Pocket Watch
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Simple Simple 5 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 79 82 79 +0 2 Funky Music 4 59.0 2 0.30 1.0 90 88 88 -2 3 King Rahul 4 53.0 3 2.60 1.0 75 73 73 -2 4 Pocket Watch 2 56.5 4 3.20 0.0 82 82 82 +0 5 Majestic Touch 2 53.0 5 3.25 0.0 75 75 75 +0 6 Houston 3 56.5 6 4.00 2.5 77 76 76 -1 7 Bloomington 3 60.5 7 4.50 2.5 85 83 83 -2 8 Ragnar Lothbrok 3 59.5 8 9.00 2.5 83 81 81 -2 9 Just Nuisance 2 60.0 9 11.50 0.0 89 87 87 -2 99 Champion Warrior 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simple Simple | 79 | 71 | 79 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Funky Music | 90 | 83 | 88 | -5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | King Rahul | 75 | 63 | 73 | -10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Pocket Watch Line | 82 | 83 | 82 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Majestic Touch | 75 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Houston | 77 | 69 | 76 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Bloomington | 85 | 69 | 83 | -14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Ragnar Lothbrok | 83 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Just Nuisance | 89 | 85 | 87 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Champion Warrior | - | 97 | 82 | +15 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points