Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: DENNIS DRIER POINSETTIA STAKES (Grade 3) (For Fillies and Mares at WFA + Penalties)
Line Horse
Morgan La Fay
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Asiye Phambili 3 57.0 1 0.00 3.0 108 96 96 -12 2 Baltic Secret 2 55.0 2 4.20 2.0 104 94 94 -10 3 Reefway 2 57.0 3 4.60 2.0 84 98 98 +14 4 Morgan La Fay 2 57.0 4 4.80 2.0 98 98 98 +0 5 Kwinta's Light 3 60.0 5 4.85 3.0 110 102 102 -8 6 Ripple Effect 2 55.0 6 7.75 2.0 107 94 97 -10 7 Get In The Q 5 57.0 7 9.85 0.0 92 102 102 +10 8 Cala Muretta 2 58.0 8 12.45 2.0 97 100 100 +3 9 Secret Identity 2 55.0 9 15.85 2.0 108 94 98 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asiye Phambili | 108 | 119 | 96 | +23 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Baltic Secret | 104 | 98 | 94 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Reefway | 84 | 84 | 98 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Morgan La Fay Line | 98 | 98 | 98 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | ||
| 5 | Kwinta's Light | 110 | 109 | 102 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ripple Effect | 107 | 102 | 97 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Get In The Q | 92 | 88 | 102 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Cala Muretta | 97 | 92 | 100 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Secret Identity | 108 | 108 | 98 | +10 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points