Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Masterbling
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Down By The River    2    58.5    1    0.00     0.0   74    73           74    +0
2    Silent Trigger       6    56.0    2    3.20     0.0   64    70           70    +6
3    Pongola              5    57.5    3    3.90     0.0   70    72           72    +2
4    Masterbling          3    53.0    4    4.00     2.5   58    58           58    +0
5    Jazz Festival        5    56.5    5    4.05     0.0   65    70           70    +5
6    Political Party      2    57.5    6    4.55     0.0   67    71           71    +4
7    Shoefella            2    56.5    7    5.75     0.0   65    69           69    +4
8    Time Taker           4    49.5    8    5.90     1.0   59    53           53    -6
9    Mr Molony            3    56.0    9    7.50     2.5   64    63           63    -1
10   Shotgun Willie       3    58.5    10   7.60     2.5   69    68           68    -1
11   Mystique Rouge       3    52.0    11   8.00     2.5   56    55           55    -1
12   Mount Meru           4    52.5    12   8.05     1.0   57    59           59    +2
13   Attaboy              2    60.0    13   9.05     0.0   77    76           76    -1
14   Connoisseur          4    61.0    14   10.65    1.0   79    76           76    -3
99   Lazy Guy             4    53.5    99   0.00     1.0   -     61           61    +0
99   Farland              6    53.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     63           63    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Down By The River 74 95 74 +21 0.0 -
2 Silent Trigger 64 60 70 -10 0.0 -
3 Pongola 70 66 72 -6 0.0 -
4 Masterbling Line 58 74 58 +16 2.5
5 Jazz Festival 65 70 70 ✓ Match 0.0 -
6 Political Party 67 66 71 -5 0.0 -
7 Shoefella 65 82 69 +13 0.0 -
8 Time Taker 59 55 53 +2 1.0 -
9 Mr Molony 64 67 63 +4 2.5 -
10 Shotgun Willie 69 66 68 -2 2.5 -
11 Mystique Rouge 56 62 55 +7 2.5 -
12 Mount Meru 57 50 59 -9 1.0 -
13 Attaboy 77 65 76 -11 0.0 -
14 Connoisseur 79 56 76 -20 1.0 -
99 Lazy Guy - 61 61 ✓ Match 1.0 -
99 Farland - 59 63 -4 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points