Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA PROGRESS PLATE (1,2 & 3 time winners)
Line Horse
Barbaresco
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jordan 4 55.0 1 0.00 1.0 91 95 95 +4 2 Barbaresco 4 61.0 2 2.50 1.0 109 109 109 +0 3 William Iron Arm 2 58.0 3 3.00 0.0 117 105 107 -10 4 Pyromaniac 6 61.0 4 3.50 0.0 100 110 110 +10 5 Scarlett Pimpernel 2 58.0 5 4.75 0.0 97 103 103 +6 6 Fostinovo 3 57.5 6 6.25 2.5 82 97 97 +15 7 Emporium 2 58.0 7 8.50 0.0 96 103 103 +7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan | 91 | 88 | 95 | -7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Barbaresco Line | 109 | 116 | 109 | +7 | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | William Iron Arm | 117 | 111 | 107 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Pyromaniac | 100 | 71 | 110 | -39 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Scarlett Pimpernel | 97 | 90 | 103 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fostinovo | 82 | 80 | 97 | -17 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Emporium | 96 | 89 | 103 | -14 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points