Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: RACING TODAY FM 99 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Law Of Success
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Elegant Ice 4 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 94 97 94 +0 2 Chrome Tourmaline 4 58.0 2 3.25 0.0 98 100 100 +2 2 Law Of Success 3 53.0 2 3.25 2.5 85 85 85 +0 4 Midnight Gem 4 55.0 4 3.35 0.0 89 94 94 +5 5 Cullinan Blue 2 62.0 5 4.60 1.5 106 105 105 -1 6 Exchange Student 4 57.5 6 4.70 0.0 97 99 99 +2 7 Alesia's Love 4 52.0 7 7.00 0.0 86 88 88 +2 8 Key Element 4 57.0 8 11.25 0.0 96 98 98 +2 9 Flowerbomb 2 60.5 9 14.25 1.5 100 102 102 +2 10 Rockets Red Glare 3 54.5 10 22.75 2.5 88 88 88 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elegant Ice | 94 | 108 | 94 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Chrome Tourmaline | 98 | 107 | 100 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Law Of Success Line | 85 | 81 | 85 | -4 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Midnight Gem | 89 | 81 | 94 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Cullinan Blue | 106 | 106 | 105 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Exchange Student | 97 | 104 | 99 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Alesia's Love | 86 | 79 | 88 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Key Element | 96 | 92 | 98 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Flowerbomb | 100 | 87 | 102 | -15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Rockets Red Glare | 88 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points