Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 12 MAY MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Kinshin Sha
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Quick Trip 2 59.0 1 0.00 1.5 81 78 81 +0 2 On Cue 3 60.0 2 0.30 2.5 80 78 78 -2 3 Kinshin Sha 4 58.0 3 1.25 0.0 79 79 79 +0 4 Covert Operator 6 61.5 4 2.50 0.0 83 86 86 +3 5 Nkandla Gold 4 55.0 5 2.55 0.0 81 73 73 -8 6 Stormy Seas 4 58.0 6 2.65 0.0 76 79 79 +3 7 King's Ransom 4 59.5 7 4.00 0.0 82 82 82 +0 8 Duke Of Rock 3 59.0 8 4.50 2.5 78 76 76 -2 9 Veldskoen (AUS) 4 60.0 9 5.50 0.0 80 83 83 +3 10 Prized Platinum 3 57.5 10 6.25 2.5 78 73 73 -5 11 Sea Shanty 4 59.0 11 13.25 0.0 81 81 81 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Trip | 81 | 82 | 81 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | On Cue | 80 | 81 | 78 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Kinshin Sha Line | 79 | 62 | 79 | -17 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Covert Operator | 83 | 77 | 86 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Nkandla Gold | 81 | 63 | 73 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Stormy Seas | 76 | 77 | 79 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | King's Ransom | 82 | 89 | 82 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Duke Of Rock | 78 | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Veldskoen (AUS) | 80 | 71 | 83 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Prized Platinum | 78 | 72 | 73 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Sea Shanty | 81 | 71 | 81 | -10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points