Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: CAPE TURF CLUB MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Maneki Neko
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Un Bel Di 3 57.0 1 0.00 2.5 - 66 6 +6 2 Maneki Neko 2 60.0 2 2.75 1.5 74 74 74 +0 3 Bagatelle Flash 2 57.0 3 4.25 1.5 - 68 68 +68 4 Approach Shot 2 60.0 4 8.00 1.5 78 74 74 -4 5 Mind Map 2 57.0 5 8.05 1.5 - 68 68 +68 6 Solartrip 3 57.0 6 8.35 2.5 - 66 66 +66 7 House Of Sussex 4 60.0 7 8.85 0.0 61 77 77 +16 8 White Seahorse 2 57.0 8 9.60 1.5 - 68 68 +68 9 Upper Crust 2 57.0 9 12.10 1.5 - 68 68 +68 10 Sexbomb (IRE) 3 60.0 10 12.85 2.5 - 72 72 +72 11 Emily In Paris 3 57.5 11 27.35 2.5 - 67 67 +67 99 Across The Bow 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Un Bel Di | - | 99 | 6 | +93 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Maneki Neko Line | 74 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Bagatelle Flash | - | 84 | 68 | +16 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Approach Shot | 78 | 70 | 74 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Mind Map | - | 76 | 68 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Solartrip | - | 77 | 66 | +11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | House Of Sussex | 61 | 50 | 77 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | White Seahorse | - | 81 | 68 | +13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Upper Crust | - | - | 68 | -68 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Sexbomb (IRE) | - | 53 | 72 | -19 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Emily In Paris | - | - | 67 | -67 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Across The Bow | - | 57 | 72 | -15 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points