Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MIDDLE STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 101 and below)
Line Horse
Willow's Wish
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sugar Blast 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 95 90 90 -5 2 Total Surrender 5 54.0 2 1.00 0.0 84 88 88 +4 3 Raiseahallelujah 7 62.0 3 2.75 0.0 99 101 101 +2 4 Willow's Wish 4 58.0 4 3.25 1.0 91 91 91 +0 5 Millahue 3 56.0 5 4.00 2.5 89 83 83 -6 6 Home Of The Brave 2 58.0 6 4.20 0.0 91 92 92 +1 7 Sukhumvit 3 53.5 7 5.70 2.5 91 76 81 -10 8 Supreme Dance 4 56.0 8 7.95 1.0 89 84 84 -5 9 Imperial Master 4 56.0 9 10.70 1.0 88 84 84 -4 99 Professor Snape 2 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 86 86 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sugar Blast | 95 | 102 | 90 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Total Surrender | 84 | 74 | 88 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Raiseahallelujah | 99 | 103 | 101 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Willow's Wish Line | 91 | 96 | 91 | +5 | 1.0 | ||
| 5 | Millahue | 89 | 81 | 83 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Home Of The Brave | 91 | 97 | 92 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sukhumvit | 91 | 100 | 81 | +19 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Supreme Dance | 89 | 76 | 84 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Imperial Master | 88 | 90 | 84 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Professor Snape | - | 68 | 86 | -18 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points