Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: WSB Aviator takes off FM 82 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Bosnay
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mascherina 4 57.5 1 0.00 0.5 81 78 81 +0 2 Diana The Huntress 3 55.5 2 1.70 2.0 73 74 74 +1 3 Bosnay 4 58.0 3 1.95 0.5 82 82 82 +0 4 Jazz Cafe 3 58.0 4 3.45 2.0 82 77 77 -5 5 Gardenia 5 57.5 5 3.50 0.0 77 80 80 +3 6 Aspoestertjie 5 55.5 6 4.10 0.0 73 76 76 +3 7 Nightingales Sing 3 60.0 7 5.10 2.0 86 80 80 -6 8 Lady Lacewing 2 56.0 8 5.15 0.0 78 76 76 -2 9 Capetown Beauty 3 60.0 9 5.35 2.0 82 80 80 -2 10 My Lady Soul 4 60.0 10 5.65 0.5 89 83 83 -6 11 Sea Goddess 3 60.0 11 6.75 2.0 82 80 80 -2 12 Chichicastenango 3 56.5 12 7.05 2.0 79 73 73 -6 13 Colorado Creek 4 57.5 13 7.45 0.5 81 78 78 -3 14 Bitcoin Baby 2 57.5 14 10.15 0.0 81 79 79 -2 99 Kisshoten 3 57.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mascherina | 81 | 99 | 81 | +18 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Diana The Huntress | 73 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bosnay Line | 82 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Jazz Cafe | 82 | 82 | 77 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Gardenia | 77 | 75 | 80 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Aspoestertjie | 73 | 68 | 76 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Nightingales Sing | 86 | 79 | 80 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Lady Lacewing | 78 | 58 | 76 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Capetown Beauty | 82 | 76 | 80 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | My Lady Soul | 89 | 86 | 83 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Sea Goddess | 82 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Chichicastenango | 79 | 76 | 73 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Colorado Creek | 81 | 80 | 78 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 14 | Bitcoin Baby | 81 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kisshoten | - | 107 | 74 | +33 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points