Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Bally Magic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    One Irish Rover      5    57.0    1    0.00     0.0   62    59           62    +0
2    Victor Rail          5    56.5    2    1.05     0.0   61    62           62    +1
3    Bally Magic          6    53.5    3    1.55     0.0   55    55           55    +0
4    Mr Molony            3    58.0    4    2.85     1.5   64    60           60    -4
5    Dark Tide            5    54.5    5    3.15     0.0   57    56           56    -1
6    Forest Jump          8    60.5    6    5.35     0.0   69    66           66    -3
7    Hippocrates          3    60.5    7    6.35     1.5   69    63           63    -6
8    Lou Lou The Legend   3    53.0    8    6.40     1.5   54    48           48    -6
9    L'Ultimo             2    56.0    9    6.80     0.0   63    57           57    -6
10   Arividicio           5    59.5    10   8.30     0.0   67    64           64    -3
11   Knight Warrior       5    60.5    11   9.00     0.0   69    66           66    -3
99   Firu Star            3    52.5    99   0.00     1.5   -     47           47    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 One Irish Rover 62 65 62 +3 0.0 -
2 Victor Rail 61 61 62 -1 0.0 -
3 Bally Magic Line 55 60 55 +5 0.0
4 Mr Molony 64 67 60 +7 1.5 -
5 Dark Tide 57 53 56 -3 0.0 -
6 Forest Jump 69 62 66 -4 0.0 -
7 Hippocrates 69 68 63 +5 1.5 -
8 Lou Lou The Legend 54 59 48 +11 1.5 -
9 L'Ultimo 63 61 57 +4 0.0 -
10 Arividicio 67 50 64 -14 0.0 -
11 Knight Warrior 69 74 66 +8 0.0 -
99 Firu Star - 53 47 +6 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points