Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: WWW.SOCCER6.CO.ZA MAIDEN PLATE (For Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Millennium Dancer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Regazzo Grande 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 64 64 64 +0 2 Millennium Dancer 4 56.5 2 5.25 1.0 55 55 55 +0 3 Electric Storm 3 60.0 3 8.25 2.5 68 59 59 -9 4 Wolfram 3 60.0 4 9.25 2.5 63 59 59 -4 5 William's Legacy 2 60.0 5 11.50 0.0 69 64 64 -5 6 Fearless Badger 4 60.0 6 13.50 1.0 63 62 62 -1 7 Imhotep 2 60.0 7 14.25 0.0 63 64 64 +1 8 Bumble Bee Gold 2 55.0 8 16.00 0.0 - 54 54 +54 9 Island Master 3 60.0 9 21.00 2.5 68 59 59 -9 10 Heart Of Thieves 4 58.5 10 22.50 1.0 56 59 59 +3 11 'O Captain 2 60.0 11 31.75 0.0 55 64 64 +9 12 Lord Capulet 3 56.0 12 99.99 2.5 56 51 51 -5 99 Come On You Spurs 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 64 64 +0 99 Mister Miyagi 3 58.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 56 56 +0 99 Belle's First Wave 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 59 59 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Regazzo Grande | 64 | 72 | 64 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Millennium Dancer Line | 55 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Electric Storm | 68 | 70 | 59 | +11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Wolfram | 63 | 59 | 59 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | William's Legacy | 69 | 66 | 64 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fearless Badger | 63 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Imhotep | 63 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bumble Bee Gold | - | 56 | 54 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Island Master | 68 | 67 | 59 | +8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Heart Of Thieves | 56 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | 'O Captain | 55 | 52 | 64 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Lord Capulet | 56 | 55 | 51 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Come On You Spurs | - | 51 | 64 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mister Miyagi | - | 44 | 56 | -12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Belle's First Wave | - | 51 | 59 | -8 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points