Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: WWW.TAB4RACING.COM MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
What A Lucy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Glawari 2 58.5 1 0.00 1.5 72 71 71 -1 2 What A Lucy 3 60.0 2 1.25 2.5 72 72 72 +0 3 One Party 3 57.0 3 4.15 2.5 - 66 66 +66 4 Ice Cap 3 60.0 4 4.25 2.5 69 72 72 +3 5 Intro 3 57.0 5 9.00 2.5 - 66 66 +66 6 Gloria Mundi 2 57.0 6 9.50 1.5 - 68 68 +68 7 Bacardi Babe 3 56.0 7 10.75 2.5 59 64 64 +5 8 Silky Jet 4 60.0 8 14.00 0.0 66 77 77 +11 9 Choc' Late 3 60.0 9 14.30 2.5 45 72 72 +27 10 Follow The Sun 3 60.0 10 14.75 2.5 68 72 72 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glawari | 72 | 65 | 71 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | What A Lucy Line | 72 | 81 | 72 | +9 | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | One Party | - | 75 | 66 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Ice Cap | 69 | 54 | 72 | -18 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Intro | - | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Gloria Mundi | - | 66 | 68 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Bacardi Babe | 59 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Silky Jet | 66 | 61 | 77 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Choc' Late | 45 | 56 | 72 | -16 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Follow The Sun | 68 | 68 | 72 | -4 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points