Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CALL TELEBET TRACK & BALL FIXED ODDS ON 031 314 1155 MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Care Forgot 3 56.0 1 0.00 1.5 - - - +0 2 Safe And Sound 3 56.0 2 2.70 1.5 - - - +0 3 Tipperary 3 54.5 3 4.20 1.5 - - - +0 4 Facile 2 56.0 4 5.50 0.0 - - - +0 5 Bao La 3 60.0 5 6.40 1.5 - - - +0 6 Silver Jubilee 3 60.0 6 6.70 1.5 61 - 56 -5 7 Fate Decreed 3 60.0 7 7.10 1.5 - - - +0 8 Cupid's Way 3 60.0 8 9.00 1.5 67 - 60 -7 9 Tothestarsandback 2 60.0 9 9.80 0.0 58 - 50 -8 10 Amber Eyes 3 56.0 10 10.40 1.5 - - - +0 11 Syrian Steel 2 56.0 11 10.65 0.0 - - - +0 12 Accumulate 4 60.0 12 10.90 0.5 64 - 53 -11 99 One Path 3 56.0 99 0.00 1.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Care Forgot | - | 102 | - | +102 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Safe And Sound | - | 92 | - | +92 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Tipperary | - | 64 | - | +64 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Facile | - | 70 | - | +70 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bao La | - | 63 | - | +63 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Silver Jubilee | 61 | 58 | 56 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Fate Decreed | - | 54 | - | +54 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Cupid's Way | 67 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Tothestarsandback | 58 | 52 | 50 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Amber Eyes | - | 50 | - | +50 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Syrian Steel | - | 72 | - | +72 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Accumulate | 64 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | One Path | - | 76 | - | - | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points