Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE ON FACEBOOK FM 94 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Shanta's Pride
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pritti Victory 3 56.0 1 0.00 2.5 89 86 89 +0 2 Shipholia 5 60.5 2 0.75 0.0 95 100 100 +5 3 Shanta's Pride 3 52.5 3 1.25 2.5 79 79 79 +0 4 Get In The Q 5 59.0 4 1.30 0.0 92 97 97 +5 5 Kailene 3 53.0 5 2.05 2.5 80 80 80 +0 6 There She Goes 6 57.5 6 2.55 0.0 89 94 94 +5 7 Warship 3 56.0 7 2.85 2.5 89 86 86 -3 8 No Filter 4 58.0 8 3.85 0.0 93 95 95 +2 9 Princess Arlowe 2 57.5 9 4.15 1.5 92 91 91 -1 10 Stormy Choice 4 54.5 10 7.15 0.0 86 88 88 +2 11 Bomber Girl 4 60.0 11 8.35 0.0 97 99 99 +2 12 Reefway 2 62.0 12 10.35 1.5 98 100 100 +2 13 Valerias Dream 3 54.5 13 17.55 2.5 83 83 83 +0 99 Ripple Effect 2 60.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 97 97 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pritti Victory | 89 | 94 | 89 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Shipholia | 95 | 104 | 100 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Shanta's Pride Line | 79 | 88 | 79 | +9 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Get In The Q | 92 | 88 | 97 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kailene | 80 | 79 | 80 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | There She Goes | 89 | 77 | 94 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Warship | 89 | 87 | 86 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | No Filter | 93 | 100 | 95 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Princess Arlowe | 92 | 86 | 91 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Stormy Choice | 86 | 81 | 88 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Bomber Girl | 97 | 84 | 99 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Reefway | 98 | 84 | 100 | -16 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Valerias Dream | 83 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Ripple Effect | - | 102 | 97 | +5 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points