Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Every Cloud
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Selukwe              3    58.0    1    0.00     2.5   74    69           74    +0
2    Continentalexpress   3    58.5    2    1.70     2.5   80    75           75    -5
3    Every Cloud          3    57.5    3    2.10     2.5   73    73           73    +0
4    Trusova              2    58.0    4    2.70     0.0   79    78           78    -1
5    Few Dollars More     2    56.5    5    3.10     0.0   76    74           74    -2
6    Pongola              5    54.5    6    3.50     0.0   70    70           70    +0
7    Political Party      2    54.5    7    4.90     0.0   67    67           67    +0
8    Querari's Dream      2    57.5    8    6.30     0.0   73    73           73    +0
9    Future Of Energy     5    54.0    9    6.70     0.0   66    66           66    +0
10   Hiawatha Goldberg    2    57.0    10   9.30     0.0   77    72           72    -5
11   Send Me              3    58.5    11   9.60     2.5   80    70           70    -10
12   Lady Canton          2    58.0    12   15.30    0.0   79    74           74    -5
13   Future Saint         4    60.0    13   17.80    1.0   83    76           76    -7
99   Tom's Act            3    52.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     57           57    +0
99   Power Star           2    53.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     65           65    +0
99   Fireflare            2    53.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     65           65    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Selukwe 74 115 74 +41 2.5 -
2 Continentalexpress 80 92 75 +17 2.5 -
3 Every Cloud Line 73 72 73 -1 2.5
4 Trusova 79 78 78 ✓ Match 0.0 -
5 Few Dollars More 76 84 74 +10 0.0 -
6 Pongola 70 66 70 -4 0.0 -
7 Political Party 67 66 67 -1 0.0 -
8 Querari's Dream 73 70 73 -3 0.0 -
9 Future Of Energy 66 55 66 -11 0.0 -
10 Hiawatha Goldberg 77 57 72 -15 0.0 -
11 Send Me 80 64 70 -6 2.5 -
12 Lady Canton 79 78 74 +4 0.0 -
13 Future Saint 83 53 76 -23 1.0 -
99 Tom's Act - 64 57 +7 2.5 -
99 Power Star - 58 65 -7 0.0 -
99 Fireflare - 69 65 +4 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points